Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 14.829566 16.739456 18.817372 21.248502 24.018120 27.078832 30.722749
2025-02-23 11.514027 13.926049 16.748774 20.305383 24.680467 29.903549 36.637270
2025-03-02 9.257482 11.898639 15.195375 19.633447 25.483736 32.975837 43.367878
2025-03-09 7.695859 10.453229 14.103529 19.326155 26.666766 36.705375 51.625710
2025-03-16 6.491696 9.273215 13.159190 19.040462 27.814890 40.575703 60.822717
2025-03-23 5.755834 8.619268 12.827341 19.544274 30.151980 46.518126 74.183055
2025-03-30 5.020320 7.846904 12.196829 19.487687 31.622763 51.403093 86.884770
2025-04-06 4.322333 7.023642 11.358907 18.957559 32.232134 55.001052 98.174136
2025-04-13 3.781664 6.371220 10.692997 18.592656 33.037943 59.042821 111.038928
2025-04-20 3.466896 6.049810 10.528179 19.057967 35.373904 66.189705 131.159049
2025-04-27 3.210604 5.791980 10.432697 19.625619 37.986017 74.305208 154.922769
2025-05-04 2.943275 5.475682 10.183965 19.858693 39.979864 81.556523 178.465616
2025-05-11 2.618628 5.016678 9.620593 19.419361 40.610052 86.287601 197.953977
2025-05-18 2.347493 4.625445 9.135781 19.066777 41.372387 91.475968 219.826542
2025-05-25 2.120045 4.291412 8.720085 18.796130 42.274297 97.172994 244.407250
2025-06-01 1.942175 4.035937 8.431736 18.759576 43.710907 104.419730 274.842881
2025-06-08 1.780629 3.793842 8.138839 18.666413 45.000887 111.583947 306.982199
2025-06-15 1.691531 3.697800 8.152793 19.296310 48.198289 124.263875 358.149643
2025-06-22 1.569599 3.512208 7.938968 19.338859 49.903233 133.373231 401.368286
2025-06-29 1.428788 3.265451 7.550395 18.881890 50.199870 138.684645 434.368342
2025-07-06 1.312202 3.061241 7.236265 18.567071 50.829675 145.084173 472.757329
2025-07-13 1.252377 2.986541 7.228820 19.067528 53.876813 159.324498 542.052828
2025-07-20 1.201623 2.927867 7.253735 19.662052 57.324969 175.602595 623.797843